The Essendon Bombers are the little engine that can’t this weekend. People have seemingly already pencilled Sydney into next weeks final. However, the Bombers are a big chance of causing an upset this weekend.

Let’s get one thing clear, Essendon are massive underdogs this weekend, and for the premiership. They are also underdogs for a big reason. Their opponents, Sydney, are the red-hot team in the AFL, and a known finals performer. Matt Cowgill from www.thearc.com.au, and featured on ESPN’s footy forensics, has crunched the numbers and the Bombers are the least likely team to win in week one of the finals.

Bombers are underdogs this weekend
SOURCE: ESPN AUSTRALIA, ELO MODEL BASED ON DATA FROM AFLTABLES.COM

 

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However, the massive underdogs are at overs this weekend. The Bombers are paying over $5 to win the match, but the two-horse race is closer than people think.

Speaking of Fox Footy’s AFL 360, David King put forward the Bombers’ case this weekend against the favoured Swans. King highlighted the tight Round 14 match in which Sydney snatched a home victory in the last minute.

“They were brilliant the last time they went up there.

“They’re such a dangerous side to play.

King further highlighted the Bombers ability to create run from the half-back line. Which was seen as a weakness before the season after losing Michael Hibberd to Melbourne: “They just have these players out the backline you don’t see coming — they’re super aggressive, they go through the corridor, they take all sorts of risks.”

 

“I think this is a bit of a fascination for me, this one — the odds are wrong. Put it that way, the odds are wrong,” – David King

 

The players King is referring to, Andrew McGrath and Conor McKenna have played a massive role in the Essendon’s run into the finals. Both have provided drive, passion and skill off the half-back line. Combining with the two young guns is star Backman, Michael Hurley, who has finally looked set in a position. He is reaping the rewards of a consistent season, and the Bombers are more than willing to put the ball in his hands.

The Bombers’ run off half-back, combined with ball winners in the middle of the park, and game-changing forwards can see the Bombers pull off a historic finals’ upset.

 

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